Updated: April 19, 2010
FIRST ROUND
1. St. Louis Rams:
Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma
The Rams need to strive to get back to the days of the Greatest Show on Turf. Reminder: the Rams started Keith Null in final four games of the 2009 season, not to be confused with Kurt Warner in his prime. Furthermore, with needs across the board, the Rams will look to solidify the quarterback position for the future by taking Bradford over Ndamukong Suh or Gerald McCoy. Pretty much every team that has to build from the ground up does it by selecting a franchise quarterback at the top of the draft.
2. Detroit Lions:
Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska
After the Rams passed on Suh, the Lions waste no time in selecting an anchor for their defense. As the best player in the draft, Suh will improve a defense that closely resembles Gilbert Arenas’ bullet-ridden locker (and swiss cheese for that matter). Suh will be the dominate force that the Lions have lacked since trading Shaun Rogers.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers:
Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma
Given time, the Buccanneers offense will improve under young quarterback Josh Freeman. There once was a time when the Bucs could rely on their defense to win games, despite a lackluster offensive unit. That time is all but gone, and the Bucs look to return to the good ole’ days by drafting Eric Berry (re-signing Warren Sapp, Derrick Brooks, and Mike Alstott in their prime’s wouldn’t hurt either).
4. Washington Redskins:
Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma St.
This is the most obvious pick in the draft, and the last of what appears to be the easier selections to project. Washington is in desperate need of an offensive tackle to keep newly acquired (and injury-prone) quarterback Donovan McNabb standing. Not drafting an offensive tackle here would be considered a big draft blunder.
5. Kansas City Chiefs:
Rolando McClain, ILB, Alabama
They did it in 2009, and they’ll do it again in 2010. Kansas City reached for Tyson Jackson last year when they had a top three selection, so taking Rolando McClain here would not exactly be out of the question. For whatever reason, Scott Piloli has an issue with taking safeties high in the draft. Eric Berry is clearly the most talented player on the board, but the Chiefs opt for the smart inside linebacker to lead their defense.
6. Seattle Seahawks:
C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson
Pete Carroll failed to recruit C.J. Spiller to play at USC back in 2006. Or the school failed to throw enough SUV’s or money in Spiller’s direction. Either way, Carroll gets a second opportunity to get the electrifying back. Spiller’s stock has been on the rise recently and the Seahawks have to reach to get the player they most covet. The need for an offensive tackle is pressing, and it would be nice to get a tackle here and spiller at 14, but that might be out of the question with the way Spiller’s stock is rising.
7. Cleveland Browns:
Eric Berry, S, Tennessee
A dream scenario for the Cleveland Browns. Joe Haden has been slotted at this spot for a while, but the acquisition of Sheldon Brown eliminates the need for a cornerback. Quarterback could also be an option here, but there is no chance the Browns pass on Eric Berry.
8. Oakland Raiders:
Bruce Campbell, OT, Maryland
JaMarcus Russell. Tom Cable. Al Davis. Hard to imagine why the team can’t win despite the trifecta. A franchise really runs on a quarterback, head coach, and owner. The Raiders could very well have the worst at all three positions. Regardless of how dysfunctional the franchise operates, predicting a player has become relatively easy. As for Campbell: He’s big. He’s really fast. Too easy.
9. Buffalo Bills:
Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame
Buffalo gets their quarterback of the future with Jimmy Clausen. For a team that hasn’t made the playoffs in ages, building around Trent Edwards just seems like a bad idea. However, if Clausen busts as a quarterback it’s going to be a very long road for the Bills to even be in contention. In that sense this is a risky pick, but it’s a pick that has to be made. For the record, I like Sam Bradford exponentially more than Jimmy Clausen.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars:
Joe Haden, CB, Florida
Jacksonville has to be hurt by the Chiefs reaching for Rolando McClain. At this spot, I don’t think the Jaguars will go defensive end. They have simply invested so much in the position that adding another defensive end bust on a top ten salary would devastate the team (not saying that JPP or Derrick Morgan are going to be busts, just hypothetical). Instead, I really think Jacksonville is going to strongly look to trade down from this spot, and a team like Philadelphia would certainly love to trade up for Earl Thomas. But we don’t predict trades. Cornerback is also a need, so if the Jaguars stay here pencil them in for Joe Haden to line up opposite Rashean Mathis.
11. Denver Broncos (f/CHI):
Derrick Morgan, DE/OLB, Georgia Tech
I actually have not a clue what Josh McDaniels is doing in Denver. Remember, this is the same guy that successfully turned football’s most explosive passing attack into something that includes Kyle Orton AND Brady Quinn. Anything is possible here. However, surprisingly Morgan would make a bit of sense. The need for a 3-4 pass rusher is present, and I’m slotting Morgan over JPP here simply because Morgan is the more polished prospect.
12. Miami Dolphins:
Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee
Dez Bryant probably would have preferred that Miami not trade for Brandon Marshall because it’s going to cost him a couple million. Now Miami will look for the successor to Jason Ferguson by selecting Dan Williams.
13. San Francisco 49ers:
Earl Thomas, S, Texas
Mike Singletary went offense in his first draft with the 49ers, so expect him to go defense with one of his first round selections this year. Earl Thomas is a prospect who can go as high as number seven to the Browns, and in that regard the 49ers are getting some value. Help in the secondary is desperately needed for the 49ers.
14. Seattle Seahawks (f/DEN):
Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa
Seattle will be tempted to go with Dez Bryant with this pick. Bryant would provide them with a number one wide receiver, and someone who could really complement T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the passing game. Instead, Seattle’s need for an offensive lineman is one that cannot be overlooked. Bulaga is one of the best tackle prospects in the draft, and will surely be someone the Seahawks will consider picking at six. He is a bit of a steal here at 14.
15. New York Giants:
Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, USF
Time for a quick story. In the championship week for my fantasy football team, the decision to start the Giants defense was made and it almost cost me a fantasy football championship. I squeaked out the win by a mere 3 points, despite the Giants defense providing me with -5 points and causing me to age several years in the process. What does this have to do with the Giants picking JPP? Probably next to nothing, but let me say it would take a lot for me not to slot a defensive player to the Giants in the first round. And second. And probably third.
16. Tennessee Titans:
Jared Odrick, DT, Penn St.
Tennessee still has not completely filled the void left by Albert Haynesworth along their defensive line. Defensive tackle Jared Odrick does just that. A lot of people feel like Odrick has the ability to be a phenomenal end in a 3-4 scheme, but he will do just fine working out of the 4-3 in Tennessee. Also note that Odrick was invited to the draft. Maybe his stock around league circles is higher than what is thought to be in the mock draft community.
17. San Francisco 49ers (f/CAR):
Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma
Trent Williams falls quite a bit in this mock draft, but the 49ers are delighted to pick him up with the seventeenth pick. As one of the most gifted tackles in the draft, Williams will solidify the 49ers offensive line for years to come. This would allow Alex Smith to play to his full potential, which would result in improved play from the likes of Vernon Davis and Michael Crabtree.
18. Pittsburgh Steelers:
Mike Iupati, OG, Idaho
The Pittsburgh Steelers have needed offensive line help for as long as I could remember. Mike Iupati is one of the most underrated players in this draft class. Ben Roethlisberger is as tough as nails, but he needs the offensive line help to sustain a long career in the NFL.
19. Atlanta Falcons:
Sean Weatherspoon, OLB, Missouri
Atlanta addressed their most pressing need by going out and acquiring Dunta Robinson. Defensive end is probably the next highest priority for Atlanta entering the draft. However, there’s not really any end worth taking with JPP and Morgan gone. Instead, Atlanta will look toward improving their linebacker unit with Weatherspoon.
20. Houston Texans:
Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise St.
Even with Dunta Robinson on the roster last season, Houston had a need at cornerback. Kyle Wilson is an impressive cornerback who Houston would be thrilled to draft. Other options at this spot include safety Earl Thomas if he is available. Definitely anticipate the Texans to look in the direction of improving their secondary.
21. Cincinnati Bengals:
Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma St.
The Cincinnati Bengals draft regardless of character issues. I wouldn’t classify Dez Bryant’s “character issues” as major character issues. In fact, a lot of his “character issues” are prominent in a number of big time wide receivers. Chad Ochocinco may be creative, but lets see him come up with a way to create as good as a pass catching option as Dez Bryant. The Bengals game philosophy largely changed this past season, but the need for another option in the passing game could not be higher following the tragic death of Chris Henry.
22. New England Patriots:
Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma
Tom Brady’s once limitless options in the passing game seem to be drawling down. Randy Moss is inconsistent and Wes Welker is coming off a major knee injury. As a whole, the Patriots are struggling as a result of the improvement of the Jets. Jermaine Gresham provides Tom Brady with a bit of stability in the pass game. Gresham got hurt this past season, but his draft stock remains high.
23. Green Bay Packers:
Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers
Aaron Rodgers is quickly turning into one of the league’s elite quarterbacks. Now all Green Bay has to do is make sure he is standing up straight. Anthony Davis is an unbelievably talented prospect who may fall a bit. Davis has the ability to play both guard and tackle, and will prove to be a valuable commodity to a Packers offensive line that seems to get injured a lot.
24. Philadelphia Eagles:
Taylor Mays, S, USC
Expect the Eagles to have a similar draft to the one they had in 2002. In that year, the Eagles went secondary with their first two picks. Specifically, the team grabbed Lito Sheppard and Michael Lewis, both going on to being valuable parts to the Eagles secondary during their Super Bowl contending years. Taylor Mays gives the Eagles a big safety that will have no problem coming up and playing against the run. His pass coverage may drawl some criticism, but the 4.4 forty he ran at the combine did a lot to silence critics.
25. Baltimore Ravens:
Brandon Graham, OLB/DE, Michigan
Brandon Graham should not be around by the time the Ravens pick. As a result, the Ravens snatch up the defensive end who is destined to star in a 3-4 scheme. The Ravens don’t have many needs, but secondary is always a concern so don’t be surprised to see them reach for a corner or safety.
26. Arizona Cardinals:
Demaryius Thomas, WR, Ga. Tech
Can Steve Breaston hold down the wide receiver position opposite Larry Fitzgerald? In my opinion, Breaston belongs in the slot, and the Cardinals could afford to bring in another wide receiver. Demaryius Thomas is a talented wide receiver. While his stats at Georgia Tech may not jump out, remember that he played in a primarily run dominated offense. He should be able to ease some of the burden off Larry Fitzgerald’s shoulders.
27. Dallas Cowboys:
Charles Brown, OT, USC
The release of Flozell Adams creates an immediate need for the Cowboys along the offensive line. Charles Brown doesn’t necessarily grade out to be a first round prospect, but he gets the job done here.
28. San Diego Chargers:
Ryan Matthews, RB, Fresno St.
Sadly, LaDainian Tomlinson’s days suiting up as a San Diego Charger are over. LDT was arguably the most exciting player of the past decade and consistently put up double-digit touchdown seasons even in his later years. Darren Sproles doesn’t have the type of size required to be an every down back, and becoming an every down back would actually take away his biggest attribute of being a change of pace back. Ryan Matthews could definitely step in and become a regular back.
29. New York Jets:
Sergio Kindle, OLB/DE, Texas
Jets fans, put the nightmare that is Vernon Gholston behind you for a second. This spot late in the first round should be used to select a pass rushing specialist. Sergio Kindle has an incredible amount of upside, and the Jets have the ability to roll the dice a little bit with this pick.
30. Minnesota Vikings:
Maurkice Pouncey, G/C, Florida
Regardless of who lines up behind center for the Vikings, he will benefit from an improved offensive line. Pouncey is a prospect on the rise that could very well be gone by the time the Vikings pick. However, his versatility with the ability to play guard and center is a valuable asset.
31. Indianapolis Colts:
Tim Tebow, ATH, Florida
Classic example of a luxury pick. Not only are the Colts in desperate need of a backup quarterback, but Tebow could also be used in the passing game as a receiver. In fact, even if the Colts don’t keep Tebow, there will definitely be a strong demand for him at this point in the draft. But I actually think there’s a good possibility of the Colts drafting Tebow. Remember, the Colts worked out Mark Sanchez last year so they have at least some interest in drafting a quarterback in the first round. Learning under Peyton Manning would be a tremendous help to Tebow’s career, and the Colts might actually be able to flip Tebow in a few years for a package of picks.
32. New Orleans Saints:
Brian Price, DT, UCLA
The biggest shortcoming for the New Orleans Saints is their ability to stop the run. While Sedrick Ellis is a promising player, he alone cannot determine the fate of the Saints run defense. Adding a tackle like Brian Price here makes too much sense.
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